A technology "supercycle" of accelerated progress is getting underway, ushering in a new era of transformation. At the launch session for Future Today Institute’s 2024 Emerging Trends report, CEO Amy Webb explained that this is powered by not one, but three general purpose technologies that are converging: connectables, biotechnology and of course, AI. And it’s this convergence that will supercharge innovation.
Already, the pace of development “is so fast and so vast, our mental models can’t capture it,” said futurist Ian Beacraft noting that an average Tuesday in February alone saw the launch of three new AI models (Open AI’s Sora, Google’s Gemini 1.5 and Meta’s V-JEPA). Progress will only accelerate from here, but if we get it right, it could unleash “a new era of abundance for humanity, like the second coming of the Industrial Revolution,” said Amazon’s head of artificial general intelligence, Vishal Sharma.
Emerging developments under discussion included multimodal AI, which now goes beyond text inputs to gather streams of data via “senses" like vision, sound and even smell, to unlock deeper insight and utility. Embodied AI (that is integrated into a physical body), is driving thinking in this space, according to Sharma.
Humanoid robots are seeing a renaissance as a result. Austin-based Apptronik’s Apollo robot (above) made an appearance at a fireside chat alongside company co-founder Jeff Cardenas. Robots like Apollo are being touted as a solution to global labor shortages because they can easily fit into our infrastructure thanks to their human form. Cardenas predicts “a Cambrian explosion of robots" and says in ten years every home will have one.
As noted in our CES roundup, AI will soon acquire agency, with LLMs (Large Language Models) evolving into LAMs (or Large Action Models), that are able to execute a sequence of tasks. Jake Brody of Accenture Song conjured a future where AI agents engage and negotiate on people’s behalf, including with brands, asking: “How do you retain brand essence in an age of agent-to-agent conversation?"